U.S. President Donald Trump has asserted that Iran's oil distribution capabilities are severely hampered by an American naval blockade, potentially leading to catastrophic pipeline explosions within three days. In a conversation on Fox News' 'The Sunday Briefing,' Trump emphasized that the lack of operational ships due to the blockade is causing mechanical and geological stress on Iran's oil infrastructure.
Trump explained that when oil flow through pipelines is interrupted, as is the case with Iran, the intense pressure can lead to internal ruptures. He warned that the situation could cause irreversible damage to the oil systems within just a few days.
However, experts have cast doubt on Trump's dramatic portrayal of the situation. According to specialists consulted by CNN, the likelihood of such drastic events occurring is minimal. They noted that many of Iran's oil facilities are currently not in operation, which reduces the risk of explosions.
Andy Lipow from Lipow Oil Associates shared his insights with CNN via email, stating that when oil tankers cease transporting crude, land-based storage tanks fill up, prompting reductions in production. This scenario has already unfolded in countries like Iraq, Kuwait, and the UAE without resulting in any explosions.
Lipow also mentioned that shutting down wells may indeed impact future oil production levels once facilities are restarted but stressed that explosions are improbable. "Oil isn’t going to explode," he concluded.
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